TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Participants can speculate on whether a team will exceed various scoring thresholds within that timeframe, offering a granular view of expected offensive performance.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Los Angeles R or Las Vegas in the first half of the Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold for each team; if the named team scores more than the stated threshold (e.g., over 2.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds vary from 2.5 to 30.5 points for both teams, allowing for multiple potential outcomes depending on the actual score. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends solely on the first-half performance of the specified team relative to its threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand from traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into public perception and potential value opportunities, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the first half team totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The market is entirely self-regulating, with prices determined solely by trader activity and not by any external factors or predetermined algorithms.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half team totals as reported by the league’s official statistics. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or even weather conditions could all significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to this one might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly move the market, and any significant public announcements related to either team could create volatility. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.