TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes in both the first half and the full game of a professional football match. Each market requires a particular team to win the first half and either win, lose, or tie the full game to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcomes are determined by official game results, with special provisions for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result must occur exactly as described in the market's primary rule. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, it resolves as 'No.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The governing league's official results determine all outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas match, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected developments related to the Los Angeles R or Las Vegas could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about coaching strategies, weather conditions impacting the game, or even public statements from key players can also drive price movements. Unexpected results in other related games or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could also impact trading activity and the overall market price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in probability.