TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Los Angeles G vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the probability of a tie on Kalshi is 61.0%, while the probability of Los Angeles G winning is 20.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official match result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-18.
If Los Angeles G wins the Los Angeles G vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego FC wins the Los Angeles G vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Los Angeles G vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their opinion, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team conditions than sportsbooks, providing a potentially more up-to-date assessment of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Los Angeles G vs San Diego FC match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and information solidifies. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles G vs San Diego FC match, as determined by the governing body of the league. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of the resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on the day of the match, particularly if they favor one team over the other, could also be a catalyst. Additionally, significant public endorsements or shifts in expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of winning could drive trading volume and alter the market’s assessment of the likely outcome. Unexpected news related to either team could also move this market.