TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:35 AM EST
Kalshi
For the MLS contest between Los Angeles G and Portland, this event determines if each team scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with the outcome excluding goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Los Angeles G and Portland both score a goal in the Los Angeles G vs Portland MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to trade based on their own insights and information. As more people trade, the price tends to converge towards the true probability of the event occurring. It's common to see discrepancies initially, but as the event approaches, the market price often becomes a strong indicator of the likely outcome, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams to Score' in the Los Angeles G vs Portland match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating greater belief that both teams will score. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Los Angeles G and Portland teams score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle in favor of 'No'. The final result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Los Angeles G or Portland could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, might also affect trading activity. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches could lead to price movements, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the teams or the match itself could also drive volatility.