TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines if both Los Angeles G and Austin will score in their MLS fixture set for October 31, 2026. The result hinges on whether each side scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases not considered for this determination.
If Los Angeles G and Austin both score a goal in the Los Angeles G vs Austin MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may be influenced by public betting patterns or specific biases, while this market reflects a broader range of informed opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome to the question of whether both teams will score in the Los Angeles G vs Austin match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the market price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, rather than being set by a single entity or algorithm. The current market price essentially represents the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Los Angeles G and Austin teams score at least one goal during the match. Official sources will be used to determine the final scoreline, and the market will settle to 100 if both teams score, or 0 if either team fails to find the net. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Los Angeles G or Austin could significantly shift trader sentiment. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, would also be closely watched. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant public discussion or analysis predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price.