TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Vancouver will win a professional MLS soccer game against Los Angeles F. Currently, Kalshi gives Vancouver a 37.0% probability of winning, while Los Angeles F is at 33.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game as reported by official sources, specifically if a tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, and will be settled by the resolution date of Oct 11, 2026.
The event resolves based on the result of the Los Angeles F vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Los Angeles F wins, the 'Los Angeles F' market resolves to Yes. If Vancouver wins, the 'Vancouver' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating and updating their predictions, leading to a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles vs Vancouver matchup. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding games could significantly impact trader sentiment. Major announcements about team conditions, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts could also cause shifts in the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trader assessments rather than broad consensus. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations.