TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Minnesota will win the Los Angeles F vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Minnesota an 83.0% probability of winning, with a 13.0% probability that the game will end in a tie. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the Los Angeles F vs Minnesota match. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for November 1, 2026, as the result within the standard match duration will determine the outcome of this market.
The market resolves based on the result of the Los Angeles F vs Minnesota MLS soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Los Angeles F wins, the 'Los Angeles F' market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins, the 'Minnesota' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on a broader range of factors. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasts than traditional polls or analysts’ predictions, as they incentivize accurate assessments through financial stakes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to pass.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles F vs Minnesota matchup, as determined by official league standings and records. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the event’s outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Key player injuries, unexpected changes in team performance, or even significant weather conditions could all influence trader sentiment. Major news announcements related to the teams, such as coaching changes or player trades, will likely cause price fluctuations. Any shifts in public perception, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, could also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market’s odds. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.