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$139.2b

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$164,783,081

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2,525,689,812

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,607,451,563

479,294

Markets across

37,299

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,906

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees?

Volume:
$9,246,629

Los Angeles D

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles D - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 9:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles D

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,411,347
N/A
N/A
$2,300,069
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,623,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$4,400
$14,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York Y

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,908,563
N/A
N/A
$1,540,916
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 24

Intro

This event group tracks the outcome of an MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET, along with specific in-game outcomes such as whether the game will go to extra innings. Aggregated across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for a Dodgers or Yankees victory stands at 100.0%, while the probability of the game extending to extra innings is 0.4%. Resolution will be determined by official MLB statistics. Watch for the game's completion on July 17, 2026, as postponements or cancellations may affect how markets settle across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market lacks explicit edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, tie) and does not specify a reporting deadline, whereas Polymarket and Predict provide comprehensive fallback logic and a 24-hour official statistics window.Hero tip: If trading the Dodgers vs Yankees winner on Kalshi, request clarification on how postponements, cancellations, and ties will resolve before committing capital. Polymarket and Predict offer more transparent settlement terms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner resolves to Dodgers or Yankees if either wins. Postponed games remain open until completion. Canceled games with no makeup or ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Applies to both the winner market and the first-inning scoring market.
  • Predict: Winner resolves to Dodgers or Yankees if either wins. Postponed games remain open until completion. Canceled games with no makeup or ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Identical to Polymarket.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Los Angeles or New York wins the game scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. No explicit guidance on postponements, cancellations, ties, or reporting deadline. Only Yes outcome is defined; No and edge cases are undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 17 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Los Angeles D vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 17 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus—what the crowd believes will happen. This market reflects real money at stake from thousands of independent traders rather than a single bookmaker's model. Prediction market prices often incorporate breaking news, injury reports, and public sentiment faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than sportsbook odds for major sporting events.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Predict may also have different user bases with varying access to real-time information or different risk appetites. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific rules can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you understand where the broader market consensus lies and whether one platform is pricing in information the other has not yet reflected.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, recent team performance, weather conditions on game day, and betting line movements from major sportsbooks. Unexpected trades or coaching decisions can shift sentiment quickly. Public statements from players or analysts, historical head-to-head records, and momentum from recent wins or losses also influence trader positioning. As game time approaches, real-time updates—such as lineup confirmations or last-minute roster adjustments—typically drive sharp price movements. Monitoring sports news and social sentiment alongside this market helps you anticipate and react to price swings.