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$154.3b
24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Los Angeles Dodgers will win their game against the Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 11 at 3:33AM ET. Currently, the probability of “Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5” winning on Polymarket is 100.0%, while “Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)” has a 0.1% probability. The resolution source for this market is https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game’s outcome on October 11, as that will determine whether the Dodgers secure the win and resolve this market.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 11 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. You may find that this market adjusts more quickly to new information, such as injuries or weather forecasts, than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as each operates with different incentives and information processing mechanisms. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential game outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Dodgers-Brewers game. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the market. The higher the price of a share, the more likely traders believe that outcome will happen. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the game's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dodgers-Brewers game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Dodgers win or a Brewers win—is the correct one based on the final score. All shares will then be settled accordingly, paying out based on the final result of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Dodgers or the Brewers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in the projected weather conditions for the game, particularly if they favor one team's pitching style, could also move the market. Unexpected starting pitcher announcements or significant performance trends from either team in recent games could also influence trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in updated sportsbook odds, could also impact the price of shares in this market.