TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in a specific baseball game, focusing on achieving certain thresholds of total bases. Each market evaluates whether designated players reach specified base totals during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total bases recorded by specified players during the Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A player must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to be active; otherwise, it resolves at fair market price. Pinch-hit at-bats are excluded from total base calculations. The outcome depends solely on the player's performance within the context of their participation status and actual plate appearances during the game.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market, where odds continuously adjust based on real-time trading activity. It’s common to see this market move in response to news or late-breaking information that hasn't fully impacted sportsbook lines yet.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total bases achieved by both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers in the completed game will determine the result. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to verify the final total. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual total bases, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Dodgers or the Brewers would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts impacting the game, such as strong winds or rain delays, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking reports on pitcher matchups or team strategies could influence traders’ assessments of the likely total bases. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment or large trades within this market itself can create momentum and drive price changes.