TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks individual player performance in a specific baseball game, focusing on runs batted in (RBIs) achieved by selected players from both teams. Each market evaluates whether designated players meet certain RBI thresholds during the match. Outcomes depend strictly on the players' in-game contributions, with specific conditions governing participation and eligibility.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record designated numbers of RBIs (1+ or 2+) during the Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If a player is scratched, not in the starting lineup, or fails to record a plate appearance, the market resolves at fair market price. Pinch-hit at-bats are excluded from RBI counts. Markets settle only if the player appears in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance; actual RBI totals then determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly forecasting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the anticipated result, but this market represents a unique forecast based on trader conviction.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the Los Angeles Dodgers versus Milwaukee Brewers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of RBIs achieved by each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by Major League Baseball, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes to the batting lineup, or weather conditions impacting the game could cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance in previous games, or even pre-game reports about a player’s condition, could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades in the market itself, driven by informed traders or sudden changes in sentiment, can create momentum and alter the probabilities reflected in the prices. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential movements in this market.