TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Brice Turang will hit one or more home runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee baseball game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be determined by whether Mookie Betts records 2+ home runs in the game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, as reported by the official game statistics. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on performance through the originally scheduled game date of October 11, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 12, 2026.
These markets resolve based on whether specified players hit a defined number of home runs during the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If a player is not in the starting lineup, scratched, or enters the game as a pinch hitter without recording a plate appearance, the market settles at the fair market price. Only home runs hit by a player who starts the game and records at least one plate appearance count toward resolution. Pinch-hit at-bats are excluded from consideration. All markets are independent, and each has its own threshold (1+ or 2+ home runs) for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities, as reflected in the prices, diverge from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as each represents a different approach to forecasting the event’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official home run statistics recorded for the Los Angeles Dodgers versus Milwaukee Brewers game on that date. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved by referencing official game data and league records. The final prices on Kalshi will reflect the actual number of home runs hit by the players featured in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dodgers or Brewers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly wind conditions, could also influence the market, as wind can affect the distance a ball travels. Furthermore, pre-game announcements about starting pitchers or lineup changes could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams’ recent performance or hitting tendencies could also move the market before Oct 12, 2026.