TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks cumulative performance metrics for specified players in a single baseball game between two teams. Outcomes are determined by whether each player's total hits, runs, and RBIs meet or exceed predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the total hits, runs, and RBIs recorded by specified players during the game. Each market has a threshold (1+, 2+, etc.) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. If a player is scratched, not in the starting lineup, or fails to record a plate appearance, the market resolves at fair market price. Pinch-hit at-bats are excluded from calculations. Only players who start and record at least one plate appearance contribute to the settlement, with their cumulative stats determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and widely publicized, offering a readily available comparison point for assessing the potential value in this market. Discrepancies often arise due to differing levels of information and biases.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final statistics for the Los Angeles Dodgers versus Milwaukee Brewers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total combined hits, runs, and RBIs achieved by both teams during the officially scored game. Any potential adjustments or official rulings regarding the game's statistics will be taken into account to ensure an accurate and fair resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Dodgers or Brewers would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts predicting unfavorable conditions could also impact expectations. Furthermore, performance trends of the teams in recent games, or any significant statistical analysis released by sports analysts, could sway trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about pitching matchups or strategic decisions could also lead to shifts in the market, as traders react to the evolving information landscape.