TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:20 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks individual player performance in a specific baseball game, focusing on achieving certain hit thresholds. Each market evaluates whether designated players reach specified hit counts during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by the players' statistical performance in the game.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record a minimum number of hits (1+, 2+, or 3+) during the Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If a player is scratched, not in the starting lineup, or fails to record a plate appearance, the market resolves at fair market price. Pinch-hit at-bats are excluded from hit counts. Markets settle only if the player appears in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance; actual resolution depends strictly on the hits achieved against the threshold defined in each market's primary rule.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows bettors to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets often become more accurate as the event approaches due to the continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives represented within the volume of $397,929.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of hits achieved by both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers during the scheduled game will determine the result. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will be used to verify the final hit count. The market will then settle based on which outcome (total hits) aligns with the verified game results.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or lineup changes for either the Dodgers or the Brewers would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather forecasts predicting rain or strong winds could also influence trading activity, as these conditions can affect hitting performance. Additionally, late-breaking news about pitching matchups or changes in team strategy could shift expectations. A significant shift in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also move the market, especially given the current volume of $375,044.