TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Keaton Mitchell will score one or more touchdowns in the Los Angeles Chargers versus Seattle Seahawks professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 7.0% probability to Keaton Mitchell scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Cooper Kupp scoring 2+ touchdowns is at 5.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the Seattle Seahawks D/ST scores at least one touchdown in the game, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the Los Angeles C vs Seattle game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 5, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether designated participants score at least one touchdown during the specified Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player (Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Omarion Hampton) or defensive unit (SEA Seahawks D/ST, LA Chargers D/ST) achieves one or more touchdowns. If a participant is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once any participant takes at least one snap - regardless of whether plays involving them are later nullified by penalty - the market outcome is determined solely by whether they scored touchdowns during their participation. These rules apply uniformly across all four markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It is common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available, or as public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert opinions, this market aggregates the views of many individuals, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as the event approaches. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different touchdown outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, represented by the bid-ask spread, indicates the level of agreement among traders. A narrower spread suggests greater consensus, while a wider spread implies more uncertainty. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count for the Los Angeles C versus Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine which outcome—the number of touchdowns scored—aligns with the official results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact payout will depend on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Los Angeles C or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public sentiment reflected in sports news and analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected developments leading up to the game will be closely watched by traders.