TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
The market centers on whether the professional football match between Los Angeles and Seattle, scheduled for October 4, 2026, concludes without a clear winner. A tie occurs when both teams finish with equal scores at the end of regulation time, assuming no overtime decides a victor. The outcome hinges purely on the game's final score.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Los Angeles C vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, it's important to note that there is limited publicly available data comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this specific match. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional analyst forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, who weigh various factors – team form, player injuries, historical data, and even intangible elements – to arrive at their assessments. It's a dynamic comparison, as analyst opinions and market odds can shift over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a tie. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of a tie, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Los Angeles C vs Seattle match will determine whether the 'tie' outcome is realized. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts representing a tie will be paid out if the match ends in a draw; otherwise, those contracts will expire without value. The process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Los Angeles C or Seattle would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the coaches, could introduce new information and lead to price adjustments in this market. Major news events impacting team morale could also play a role.