TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates how many rushing yards specific players gain in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Seattle. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage totals, reflecting the performance scale for each participant.
Contracts pay based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the specified game, using a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment corresponds to a specific payout value. The payout structure follows a cubic scaling formula designed to reward higher performance levels more significantly, capping the maximum Yes payout at $1.00. If a player does not meet the minimum threshold for any tier, the Yes payout is $0.00, and No contracts pay the full $1.00 minus any applicable Yes payout. Negative rushing yards trigger a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All calculations are rounded down to the nearest ten yards and bounded between zero and 200 yards for consistency in payout determination.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and often differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market prices tend to adjust more quickly than sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of different rushing yard totals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, indicating how much volume is available to buy or sell at each level. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official rushing yard totals for the Los Angeles C versus Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will serve as the source for determining the total rushing yards achieved by both teams. This will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the final rushing yard total achieved during the game. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are major catalysts, as are changes to the starting quarterbacks. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also shift expectations towards a more run-heavy offensive approach. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased volume and price movements in this market.