TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players attempt to run with the ball during an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Seattle. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed set thresholds for rushing attempts.
All markets resolve based on the total number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Los Angeles C vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the minimum number of rushing attempts specified in the market title (e.g., 11+, 14+, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of rushing attempts in the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing you to see the current bid and ask prices for each contract.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempt totals for both teams in the Los Angeles C versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the source of truth. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing attempt total will be paid out according to the market's payout structure at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing totals. Pre-game reports on coaching strategies and play-calling tendencies could also shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, potentially driving price fluctuations in this market.