TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving performance in a specific football game between Los Angeles and Seattle. Participants can speculate on how many receiving yards individual players will accumulate through contracts tied to each player's yardage output. The structure allows for proportional payouts based on actual performance metrics.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Seattle Seahawks game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that total payouts for both sides always sum to $1.00 regardless of performance. Payouts are scalar and proportional to yardage, meaning they scale linearly with the number of yards achieved—zero yards result in a $0.00 Yes payout and $1.00 No payout, while 400 yards yield a $1.00 Yes payout and $0.00 No payout. All markets operate independently for each player, with the same payout structure applied uniformly across Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Omarion Hampton, and Quentin Johnston.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced a particular outcome. Examining the comparison can highlight where the crowd disagrees with experts or conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, giving traders insight into potential price movements and the cost of entering or exiting a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Los Angeles C and Seattle players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payouts based on the contract prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift the market. Unexpected lineup changes or strategic adjustments announced by the coaching staffs could influence expectations. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to substantial price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.