TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The battle between Los Angeles C and Seattle now hinges on which team scores the first 10 points. Early scoring bursts and defensive stops will be crucial in deciding the market outcome.
Markets resolve based on which team first scores 10 points in the full game, including overtime. If neither team reaches 10 points, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open; delays beyond that result in a fair price resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team reaching 10 points first. These differences can emerge due to varying information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 10 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe a team will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Los Angeles C or Seattle—reaches 10 points first in the competition. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the league or governing body overseeing the event. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed by referencing official sources to ensure an accurate and fair determination of the winning team.
Several factors could significantly influence the trading activity in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Los Angeles C or Seattle would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even weather conditions (if applicable to the competition) could introduce volatility. Major announcements or developments related to the teams involved are all potential catalysts for movement in this market.