TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the passing yardage performance of two quarterbacks in a specific football game. Each market evaluates whether a player reaches a particular passing yardage threshold, offering various benchmarks for comparison.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the specified quarterback during the Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent and evaluate different yardage thresholds for each quarterback, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome (Yes or No). Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to build in a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate an opportunity for arbitrage – where traders can profit by betting on both sides. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage totals for both quarterbacks are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes. It’s important to monitor the game and any potential factors that could impact the final passing yardage totals as the resolution date nears.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected passing yardage. Late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in expert analysis or media coverage, could contribute to price movements in this market.