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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Los Angeles C vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Los Angeles C vs Seattle?

Volume:
$58,650

Sam Darnold: 2+

 - Kalshi

Sam Darnold: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 6:32 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,571
N/A
N/A
$9,046
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Herbert: 1+

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,868
N/A
N/A
$9,438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,911
N/A
N/A
$2,905
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Herbert: 2+

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,062
N/A
N/A
$11,365
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,480
N/A
N/A
$11,099
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Herbert: 3+

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,916
N/A
N/A
$5,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 4+

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,843
N/A
N/A
$4,838
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 5+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Sam Darnold and Justin Herbert in a specific football game between Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle. The outcomes depend on the number of passing touchdowns each quarterback achieves during the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Sam Darnold or Justin Herbert in the Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, etc.) for resolving as 'Yes.' The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying a visual representation of the probabilities assigned by traders. It also provides a price history chart, allowing users to analyze how the market has behaved over time. Furthermore, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $53,483, and the total overall volume, which is $58,650. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the potential number of passing touchdowns in the game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially closer to the event date, as traders incorporate new data.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will become, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game between Los Angeles C and Seattle will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of passing touchdowns will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either Los Angeles C or Seattle would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of passing attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also influence the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, in the prices within this market.