TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Sam Darnold and Justin Herbert in a specific football game between Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle. The outcomes depend on the number of passing touchdowns each quarterback achieves during the match.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Sam Darnold or Justin Herbert in the Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, etc.) for resolving as 'Yes.' The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially closer to the event date, as traders incorporate new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will become, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game between Los Angeles C and Seattle will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of passing touchdowns will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either Los Angeles C or Seattle would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of passing attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also influence the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, in the prices within this market.