TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions thrown by quarterbacks in a specific football game between two teams on a set date. The outcome depends on whether designated players throw a certain number of interceptions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Seattle Seahawks game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold for resolution (e.g., 1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions), and all share the same secondary rules regarding inactive players and snap conditions. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a large number of traders believe Justin Herbert is likely to throw an interception, the price will move in that direction, potentially offering a different value than what you might find at a sportsbook. It’s important to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of Justin Herbert throwing 1+ passing interceptions. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of an interception, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final result will be determined by the official game statistics for the Los Angeles Chargers versus Seattle Seahawks game, focusing on the number of passing interceptions thrown by Justin Herbert. The official game logs will be used to verify the outcome and settle the market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding Justin Herbert’s health, such as an injury, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in the Seattle Seahawks’ defensive strategy or key personnel could also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if it’s rainy or windy, might increase the likelihood of an interception. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the matchup between the Chargers' passing game and the Seahawks' secondary could cause the market to move.