TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Los Angeles C and Seattle. It covers all possible scoring scenarios, including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays, and accounts for potential overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the first touchdown scored, regardless of when it occurs in the game.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Los Angeles C vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Seattle scores first, Los Angeles C scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows participants to directly assess probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can influence trading activity in this market, as they represent a widely available source of information. It’s common to see initial price movements in this market reacting to the opening lines from major sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the current price, reflecting the collective assessment of all participants. The most actively traded outcomes will typically have the tightest spreads.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the game. The official game statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either team would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor a passing or running game, could also influence the market. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts, while not directly reflected in the market, can sway trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting action from large traders could create short-term price fluctuations as they adjust their positions.