TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The contest centers on whether either Los Angeles C or Seattle manages a defensive or special teams touchdown during the game. Such plays, even in overtime, would satisfy the condition, with the market remaining active for postponed games starting within 48 hours.
If Los Angeles C or Seattle record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Los Angeles C vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on trader activity. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, but it’s not always the case, and both can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive touchdown being scored. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing opinions. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether a defensive touchdown is officially recorded in the Los Angeles C versus Seattle game according to official NFL statistics. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official confirmation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key defensive players for either team—injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time—could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also shift expectations regarding scoring opportunities. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.