Will both teams score in the 4th quarter?

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of the event. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, encouraging traders to exploit the difference and bring the prices closer together. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks use different mechanisms for determining probabilities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all participants trading on the exchange, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics will be used to determine whether both the Los Angeles C and Seattle teams scored at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all traders.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Los Angeles C or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and alter the price. Overall game momentum during the first three quarters might also influence trading activity.