TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Seattle team in an upcoming professional football game against Los Angeles C. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by their performance during the game.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or the Seattle defense scores the first touchdown for Seattle in the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Seattle touchdowns are scored, all player-specific markets resolve to No, and the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of probability. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will decrease, indicating a higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown for the Seattle team during the game against Los Angeles C. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the Seattle team’s offensive strategy, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived likelihood of different players scoring. A key player being ruled out would likely shift probabilities towards other receiving options. Furthermore, pre-game reports about matchups or defensive schemes could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news or developments leading up to the game will be quickly reflected in the prices within this market, as traders react to the new information.