TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for the Los Angeles Chargers in their upcoming game against Seattle. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by in-game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for the Los Angeles Chargers in the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Los Angeles Chargers touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all participant markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different players scoring the first touchdown, and the price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown for the Los Angeles C in the game. Official game data will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any scoring plays subject to review will be resolved based on the final ruling of the game officials. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely cause their contract price to decrease, while the prices of other potential touchdown scorers would increase. Game-day reports about player matchups or offensive strategies could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant public statements from coaches or players about their game plan could move this market.