TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between two Los Angeles teams, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different possible point differential, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might win. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the two Los Angeles teams in their Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, including any overtime. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified point differential range is met for the winning team. Specifically, markets cover scenarios where Los Angeles R wins by 0, 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points, and where Los Angeles C wins by 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points. If the game ends in a tie (0-point differential), only the tie market resolves as 'Yes'. All markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its specific condition without regard to others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that margin occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular margin is likely, the higher its price will climb. Conversely, if traders think a margin is improbable, its price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual winning margin will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or team performance during the season could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even pre-game reports on team morale, could trigger shifts in the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could lead to price movements in this market.