TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kyren Williams will score one or more touchdowns in the Los Angeles C versus Los Angeles R professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Kyren Williams scoring 1+ touchdowns. Resolution will be determined by whether the LA Rams D/ST scores at least one touchdown during the game, as defined by Kalshi, with the resolution source being the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the results of the fixture on or shortly after the resolution date of 2026-11-02.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player or defensive unit scores one or more touchdowns during the game. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a participant takes at least one snap, the market resolves based solely on whether they score a touchdown, regardless of any penalties that may nullify the play. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count for special teams touchdowns. The markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain number of touchdowns, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the game’s final score and touchdown totals.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored by both the Los Angeles Chargers and the Los Angeles Rams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes. Traders will be able to see the final result and payouts on the Kalshi dashboard.
Several factors could influence this market before the game is played. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring. Even late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to move the market.