TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between two Los Angeles teams. Outcomes depend on whether designated players achieve various threshold levels of rushing yards during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players reach designated rushing yard thresholds during the entire game, including overtime. Contracts are designated as protected: if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the player meets the rushing yard requirement, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, settlement is based solely on actual statistics, irrespective of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. If you observe a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate that PredictionHero traders possess unique insights or anticipate factors not fully accounted for by traditional oddsmakers. It's a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total rushing yards in the Rams vs Chargers game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the total will be higher, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecast as the game approaches. The current price reflects the probability-weighted average of all possible outcomes, as determined by the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total rushing yards for both the Los Angeles Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the league following the completion of the game. Any potential adjustments or corrections to the official stats will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. Traders will be able to see the verified result on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also shift expectations about the running game. Pre-game reports on team strategies and play-calling tendencies might also affect trading activity. Even late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.