TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often a specific player, Kyren Williams, carries the ball in an upcoming football game between two Los Angeles teams. The focus is on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts during the match. Outcomes depend purely on his performance in terms of ball carries, not the game's final score.
The event evaluates whether Kyren Williams reaches specified thresholds of rushing attempts in the Los Angeles C vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Three separate markets correspond to thresholds of 11+, 14+, and 17+ rushing attempts. For all markets, if Kyren Williams is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Williams takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules ensure that market outcomes reflect actual in-game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainties regarding player participation.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes become more accurate as the event approaches and more people participate, incorporating a wider range of insights into the pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, specific ranges of rushing attempts for the Rams and Chargers. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, if more traders sell, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded number of rushing attempts made by both the Los Angeles Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers during the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine which outcome, or outcomes, correspond to the actual number of rushing attempts and settle the corresponding contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to offensive game plans. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could also impact the likelihood of a run-heavy versus pass-heavy approach. News regarding coaching decisions or adjustments to the defensive strategies of either team could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team strategy could lead to substantial movement in this market.