TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event also tracks receptions in the same football game but uses a non-linear payout structure that increases significantly with higher reception counts. The payout schedule accelerates for higher performance levels, creating a distinct financial incentive for predicting both moderate and exceptional player performance.
Contracts pay out according to a predefined schedule that increases non-linearly with the number of receptions. Each Yes contract pays a specific amount based on receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where s is the official receptions. The payout schedule ranges from $0.0000 for 0 receptions to $1.0000 for 14 or more receptions. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for any outcome remains $1.00. This structure creates a cubic relationship between receptions and payouts, with accelerating returns for higher reception counts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the platform's matching engine.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Los Angeles Rams versus Los Angeles Chargers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi once they are officially reported.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers on either the Rams or the Chargers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a pass-heavy or run-heavy game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the market’s assessment of likely reception totals.