TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the match. The game is scheduled for November 1, 2026, between two Los Angeles-based teams.
All markets in this event are resolved based on the total receptions recorded by specified players across the entire game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a defined threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.) for a particular player; if the player meets or exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' All contracts are designated as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. These rules apply uniformly to all markets within this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and the current volume of $12,073 suggests moderate interest in this particular matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals for players in the Los Angeles Rams versus Los Angeles Chargers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the actual number of receptions achieved by each player during the game, as recorded by official sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers or quarterbacks on either team, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and influence reception totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to offensive schemes could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to traders reassessing their positions and adjusting the prices in this market.