TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard performance for specific players in an upcoming football game between two Los Angeles teams. Participants can bet on whether each player will accumulate a certain level of receiving yards, with payouts scaling based on the exact yardage achieved. The structure allows for nuanced betting on individual player performance within a single game.
Contracts pay out based on the exact number of receiving yards recorded by designated Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams players during the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per receiving yard accumulated, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. The corresponding No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring total payouts sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Payouts are proportional to yardage, with examples showing linear scaling: 80 yards yields a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while 200 yards results in equal $0.50 payouts for both positions. Zero yards results in a full $1.00 payout for No contracts and $0.00 for Yes contracts. All markets operate as scalar instruments where payouts directly correlate with the precise yardage recorded by each named player.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about player performance. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes there’s an edge, offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the prices by placing buy and sell orders for each yardage tier. The price of a contract represents the probability of a player exceeding that yardage total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each tier, and the price fluctuations demonstrate how opinions are changing as new information emerges. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and informative market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts settle in the money. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions align with the actual results, reflecting the collective wisdom of the market at the time of trading.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends are major catalysts, as they directly affect a player's opportunity to accumulate receiving yards. Changes in quarterback performance, weather conditions, or defensive matchups also play a role. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling strategies could shift expectations. Even news about player motivation or potential trade scenarios can influence trading activity. Monitoring these developments closely will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Nov 2, 2026.