TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for two quarterbacks in a specific football game. It examines whether predetermined thresholds of yardage are met by either player during the match, focusing on performance metrics rather than game outcomes.
All markets resolve based on whether specified quarterbacks achieve minimum passing yard thresholds in the designated game, including any overtime periods. Each contract is marked as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the exact yardage threshold is met. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count toward participation requirements. Players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have a strong opinion, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new data and insights, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches. Examining both can provide a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible passing yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and their collective actions determine the market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific yardage total is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage totals for both the Los Angeles Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The market will settle based on the combined passing yards achieved by both teams during the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments or revisions to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either the Rams or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations regarding passing yardage. Furthermore, updates on wide receiver availability or defensive strategies employed by each team could all contribute to price movements. Even late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions.