TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for two quarterbacks in a specific football game. It examines whether each player reaches various yardage milestones during their performance, offering multiple benchmarks to evaluate their effectiveness in the matchup.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified quarterback achieves the stated passing yard threshold in the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent, with each threshold (e.g., 175+, 200+, etc.) representing a separate condition for resolution. The markets cover both starting quarterbacks, Matthew Stafford (Rams) and Justin Herbert (Chargers), across ascending yardage benchmarks. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds closer to what they believe is the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as the crowd’s assessment takes shape.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. The market depth—the number of contracts available at different price points—also provides insight into the level of conviction behind each prediction. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals from the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage statistics, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the combined passing yards achieved by both quarterbacks during the game, and traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout.