TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks in a football game between two Los Angeles teams. The outcomes depend on whether each quarterback reaches various thresholds of scoring passes during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified quarterback records a minimum number of passing touchdowns in the full game, including overtime. All contracts are designated as protected: if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the required touchdowns are achieved, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—or even anticipating—sportsbook odds. However, there can be differences. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders perceive information differently than bookmakers, or that one market has more activity and therefore more accurate pricing. Monitoring these differences can be a valuable strategy for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing perceptions. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of the event.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the Los Angeles Rams versus Los Angeles Chargers game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries—particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers—for either the Rams or the Chargers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions unfavorable for passing, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive matchups could shift trader sentiment. Even general public perception, as reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.