TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each manages to achieve during the match. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach certain milestone totals of scoring passes.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Matthew Stafford or Justin Herbert in the specified Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams game. For any market, if the relevant quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance-based outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, whereas this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. While sportsbooks may initially have a stronger opinion, prediction markets tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more people participate. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still exist due to differing motivations of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by each quarterback in the Los Angeles Rams versus Los Angeles Chargers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, such as the quarterbacks or their primary receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Additionally, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, and even late-breaking news about player matchups, could all contribute to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.