TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds. These benchmarks help assess the effectiveness of each quarterback's performance during the match.
All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by either Matthew Stafford or Justin Herbert in the Los Angeles C vs Los Angeles R game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For any market, if the relevant quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 18+, 23+, or 28+ for Stafford; 15+, 20+, or 25+ for Herbert), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the player meets or exceeds their respective threshold. These rules ensure clarity in settlement, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance, while emphasizing that resolution is strictly based on completions after the first snap is taken.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks react quickly to news and public betting patterns, whereas this market may take longer to incorporate information. Over time, the two may converge, but differences can persist due to differing incentives and information access.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by both the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or strong winds are predicted, could also impact the expected passing volume. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could introduce volatility into this market.