TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming Pro Football game, using a standardized fantasy-point system to determine outcomes.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) of the Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams match scheduled for November 1, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories including passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions. Each market has a specific threshold; if the specified player or team exceeds their respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Players who do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. The scoring system details specific point values for categories such as passing yards (0.04 points per yard, with a bonus of 1 point per 25 yards), passing touchdowns (4 points), interceptions (-1 point), and various other statistical achievements, ensuring a comprehensive evaluation of player and team performances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The current price difference between contracts indicates the market’s assessment of the relative strength of each team in the rivalry.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total fantasy points scored by each team in the specified game will be tallied, and the team with the higher total will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official scoring data from established fantasy sports providers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in weather forecasts, could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, major announcements related to player contracts or team ownership could introduce new uncertainties and volatility into this market, leading to fluctuations in contract prices.