TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate individual player performance in a specific football game by tying payouts to fantasy points scored. Participants bet on whether a player's points will result in a proportional return, with clear limits on potential earnings based on statistical outcomes.
Each market operates as a scalar payout structure where Yes contracts pay $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by the designated player during the specified Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams game, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are calculated using Sleeper's official weekly PPR fantasy-point totals for each player. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point figure for the specified week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the holder's contract position, ensuring that returns scale with the size of each participant's stake in the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy ladder standings for both Los Angeles teams at the end of the specified season. The team with the higher final fantasy ladder score will be considered the winner of this market. The outcome will be determined by publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major player injuries to key performers on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Significant changes in team performance, such as winning or losing streaks, could also impact predictions. Unexpected trades or acquisitions could alter the perceived competitive balance. Furthermore, any news regarding player contracts or coaching changes might move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the probabilities evolve leading up to Nov 2, 2026.