TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between two Los Angeles-based teams. The outcome depends solely on the performance during that quarter, with a separate condition for a tie if both teams score equally.
The market determines the winner of the third quarter in the Pro Football game between Los Angeles C and Los Angeles R scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each team's market resolves to Yes if they score the most points during that quarter. If both teams score the same number of points in the third quarter, all team markets resolve to No, and the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and the broader game result is irrelevant to the resolution of this market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Los Angeles basketball game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Official game statistics and scores from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning team. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any discrepancies based on the final, verified result. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes to the starting lineup, or unexpected team performance in earlier quarters could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, expert analysis and public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news, such as a key player being ruled out at the last minute, would likely cause a rapid adjustment in the odds. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.