TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either team in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose from various point spreads to wager on how decisively one team might outperform the other during that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Los Angeles C and Los Angeles R during the second quarter of their scheduled game on Nov 1, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin: for Los Angeles R, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, while for Los Angeles C, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the winning team meets or exceeds the specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple outcomes depending on the exact margin of victory in that quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Los Angeles basketball spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the spread in the second quarter.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the second quarter of the game between Los Angeles C and Los Angeles R will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi after the resolution process is complete. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies for either Los Angeles C or Los Angeles R could cause the market to shift. Unexpected performance during the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game reports on player form, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could signal a change in market sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements.