TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams in the second half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose from various thresholds to wager on whether the combined scoring will exceed specific values.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half (including any overtime periods) of the specified football game. Each market has a different threshold, and if the combined second-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the second half count toward these markets, regardless of when the game is actually played if delayed or rescheduled. All markets share the same resolution criteria, differing only in their respective point thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the second half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more confident traders are that the second half total will be over the specified threshold. Conversely, a price closer to 0 suggests a belief that the total will be under. Trading volume and order flow directly influence these price movements.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second half of the Los Angeles basketball game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scoring data released by the league. The market will determine whether the total points scored in the second half exceed the pre-defined threshold, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. The final score will be the sole determinant of the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups would likely have a significant impact. In-game performance during the first half, such as shooting percentages and foul trouble, could also shift expectations. Public sentiment and expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could also play a role. Any unexpected events that affect the game's pace or scoring potential have the ability to move this market, as traders adjust their predictions accordingly.