TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of a professional football game between two Los Angeles teams. Outcomes are determined solely by the point differential in the latter half of play, including any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential occurring in the second half (including overtime) of the specified professional football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored from the start of the second half through the end of regulation and any overtime periods count toward these thresholds. All markets share the same secondary rule that explicitly limits consideration to second-half scoring only, ensuring no first-half performance influences the outcome. The game in question is scheduled for November 1, 2026, and all markets are independent but evaluated using identical temporal parameters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate factors not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the second-half point spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Kalshi, and can change rapidly based on trading activity and incoming information.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread achieved in the second half of the game will be compared to the contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine winning and losing contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Los Angeles C or Los Angeles R teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in starting lineups, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about team morale could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first half of the game, and any adjustments made by coaches at halftime, could all contribute to shifts in the market price up until resolution.