TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the official statistics recorded during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Los Angeles C or Kansas City in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each team, multiple thresholds (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+ yards) are offered, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the specified team's total offensive yards meet or exceed the stated threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific yardage outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant amount of trading occurs, as the market seeks to establish a consensus view on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each possible total yardage result. The current market reflects the aggregated opinions of those actively trading.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total yards for each team are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of the game. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the officially recorded total yardage achieved by each team during the game, as reported by the NFL. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual on-field performance.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are major catalysts, as they directly impact offensive capabilities. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations towards lower yardage totals. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in personnel could also move the market. Finally, significant trading volume driven by informed bettors responding to new information can cause rapid price adjustments as traders refine their predictions.