TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Kansas City will win against Los Angeles C by more than 7.5 points in their upcoming professional football game. Currently, the probability of Kansas City winning by over 7.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 18, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
All markets resolve based on the final official score of the Los Angeles Chargers versus Kansas City Chiefs professional football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For markets where Kansas City is the specified winner, the market resolves to 'Yes' if Kansas City's victory exceeds the stated point differential. Conversely, for markets where Los Angeles is the specified winner, the market resolves to 'Yes' if Los Angeles's victory exceeds the stated point differential. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete in a manner that prevents an official result, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes offer more accurate forecasts than traditional methods, especially when considering the incentive structure for traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Los Angeles C will cover the spread, the ‘yes’ contracts will become more expensive, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread will be determined by official results reported by the NFL, and the market will settle based on whether Los Angeles C covered that spread against Kansas City. The resolution will reflect the official outcome of the game, as determined by the league’s official statistics and records, and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, such as the quarterback or star wide receiver, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public betting patterns at sportsbooks, could all contribute to movement in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.