TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard performance for specific players in an upcoming professional football game between Los Angeles and Kansas City. Participants can speculate on how many yards each designated player will gain through individual contracts tied to actual game statistics.
All markets function as scalar contracts where Yes payouts scale linearly at $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the named player during the specified game, capped at $1.00 (equivalent to 400 yards). No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, with examples showing $0.20 Yes/$0.80 No for 80 yards, $0.50 each for 200 yards, and $0.00 Yes/$1.00 No for zero yards. The markets resolve to Yes if the specified player records any rushing yards, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming affiliation with the NFL.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts closer to game day. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people want to buy a contract, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome, and these beliefs are reflected in the market prices. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Los Angeles C versus Kansas City game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle based on the actual game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts that might impact the game plan. News about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Unexpected player performance in previous games, or even pre-game analysis from respected NFL analysts, can shift trader sentiment. Keep an eye on these signals as they emerge, as they can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026.