TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players will carry the ball during an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Kansas City. The outcomes depend on whether designated players meet or exceed certain rushing attempt thresholds during the contest. Each market focuses on a different player and a different minimum number of attempts required for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by specified players in the Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the stated number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance metrics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, adjusting prices based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast of the total rushing attempts for the game, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both Los Angeles C and Kansas City will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game data released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual rushing attempt total.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are significant, as are changes in weather forecasts, which could impact game strategy and the likelihood of running plays. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could also move the market. Furthermore, any adjustments to team strategies or play-calling tendencies observed during the game itself will be reflected in trading activity. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market’s perception of the likely rushing attempt total is evolving.